Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 95.641671 105.886776 116.429957 128.067565 140.529638 153.451469 167.839644
2024-12-22 79.198758 94.160202 110.329083 129.004167 149.880408 172.402323 198.438203
2024-12-29 71.348067 89.193396 109.143801 132.900167 160.214026 190.435860 226.199188
2025-01-05 64.134138 83.829029 106.510972 134.235296 166.873116 203.746814 248.216872
2025-01-12 58.006806 78.985975 103.806841 134.859355 172.177762 215.103162 267.711670
2025-01-19 51.092204 72.508356 98.537967 131.854430 172.699829 220.491969 279.958525
2025-01-26 48.556837 71.230928 99.384120 136.065633 181.731053 235.860986 303.984196
2025-02-02 45.698951 69.263569 99.139040 138.737429 188.758250 248.780082 325.124992
2025-02-09 42.491716 66.565773 97.731974 139.747139 193.582570 258.950269 342.946769
2025-02-16 40.992257 66.037932 99.035964 144.149701 202.634801 274.334080 367.227398
2025-02-23 38.669030 64.188326 98.442712 145.969265 208.334910 285.552784 386.441966
2025-03-02 35.178997 60.440133 95.075635 143.934077 208.919630 290.265743 397.533728
2025-03-09 32.453891 57.675034 92.977216 143.574352 211.741039 297.951134 412.616793
2025-03-16 30.050326 55.227205 91.190863 143.538313 214.937603 306.125229 428.404597
2025-03-23 29.197778 55.066363 92.596113 147.863937 223.944904 321.821840 453.864531
2025-03-30 27.560648 53.565352 91.974050 149.294080 229.028010 332.447722 472.911525
2025-04-06 25.843853 51.812922 90.878530 149.969692 233.032709 341.653038 490.168991
2025-04-13 23.233800 48.412979 87.154429 146.722372 231.517324 343.487946 497.803319
2025-04-20 22.794640 48.596673 88.826000 151.272659 240.813009 359.710885 524.314621
2025-04-27 21.975726 48.073663 89.372105 154.158056 247.798649 372.903570 546.956530
2025-05-04 20.790781 46.832138 88.735283 155.248191 252.240662 382.699563 565.185909
2025-05-11 20.500904 47.152458 90.547470 159.999552 261.905570 399.615278 592.965531
2025-05-18 19.620222 46.346695 90.522062 161.962403 267.599704 411.185510 613.724526